Game Result Predictions
Tuesday, February 5
Tuesday, February 5
The R1 Prediction calculates each team's final score, margin of victory (spread), and probability of winning the game.
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Bud Walton Arena | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Vanderbilt (9-23, Road 1-11) |
66 | 66 | +11.0 | 18% | 143 | ✔ | 61 | +19.0 | 0% | ✔ | |
|
Arkansas (18-16, Home 12-6) |
69 | 77 | -11.0 | 82% | Actual: 135 (-8) |
80 | -19.0 | 100% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Auburn Arena | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Florida (20-16, Road 5-6) |
62 | 62 | +11.0 | 18% | 135 | ✔ | 57 | +18.5 | 0% | ✔ | |
|
Auburn (29-10, Home 14-2) |
76 | 73 | -11.0 | 82% | Actual: 138 (3) |
76 | -18.5 | 100% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Cameron Indoor Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Boston College (14-17, Road 2-8) |
55 | 64 | +23.0 | 4% | 151 | ✔ | 56 | +36.5 | 0% | ✔ | |
|
Duke (32-6, Home 15-2) |
80 | 87 | -23.0 | 96% | Actual: 135 (-16) |
93 | -36.5 | 100% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Save Mart Center | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Utah State (27-7, Road 9-4) |
82 | 72 | +1.0 | 46% | 145 | ✘ | 73 | -3.5 | 80% | ✔ | |
|
Fresno State (22-9, Home 12-4) |
81 | 73 | -1.0 | 54% | Actual: 163 (18) |
70 | +3.5 | 20% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| State Farm Center | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Michigan State (32-7, Road 8-4) |
74 | 80 | -11.0 | 82% | 149 | ✘ | 86 | -25.0 | 100% | ✘ | |
|
Illinois (12-21, Home 9-7) |
79 | 69 | +11.0 | 18% | Actual: 153 (4) |
61 | +25.0 | 0% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Redbird Arena | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Valparaiso (13-18, Road 5-8) |
69 | 63 | +4.0 | 36% | 130 | ✘ | 59 | +10.5 | 3% | ✘ | |
|
Illinois State (16-16, Home 11-4) |
53 | 67 | -4.0 | 64% | Actual: 122 (-8) |
70 | -10.5 | 97% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Bramlage Coliseum | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Kansas (26-10, Road 3-8) |
67 | 62 | +4.0 | 36% | 128 | ✔ | 63 | +2.0 | 31% | ✔ | |
|
Kansas State (25-9, Home 14-2) |
74 | 66 | -4.0 | 64% | Actual: 141 (13) |
65 | -2.0 | 69% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| MAC Center | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Miami (OH) (13-17, Road 4-10) |
67 | 69 | +5.0 | 33% | 143 | ✔ | 65 | +11.5 | 2% | ✔ | |
|
Kent State (20-11, Home 12-3) |
70 | 74 | -5.0 | 67% | Actual: 137 (-6) |
76 | -11.5 | 98% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Rupp Arena | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
South Carolina (15-16, Road 4-8) |
48 | 63 | +15.0 | 11% | 141 | ✔ | 57 | +25.0 | 0% | ✔ | |
|
Kentucky (30-7, Home 17-1) |
76 | 78 | -15.0 | 89% | Actual: 124 (-17) |
82 | -25.0 | 100% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Tom Gola Arena | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Saint Joseph's (14-19, Road 2-10) |
69 | 71 | +1.0 | 46% | 143 | ✔ | 70 | +0.5 | 49% | ✔ | |
|
La Salle (10-21, Home 5-9) |
83 | 72 | -1.0 | 54% | Actual: 152 (9) |
71 | -0.5 | 51% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Vines Center | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Stetson (5-24, Road 0-16) |
54 | 56 | +24.0 | 4% | 136 | ✔ | 48 | +39.5 | 0% | ✔ | |
|
Liberty (26-7, Home 13-1) |
57 | 80 | -24.0 | 96% | Actual: 111 (-25) |
87 | -39.5 | 100% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Joseph J. Gentile Center | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Drake (22-10, Road 7-6) |
64 | 64 | +4.0 | 36% | 132 | ✔ | 64 | +3.5 | 21% | ✔ | |
|
Loyola-Chicago (19-14, Home 12-4) |
86 | 68 | -4.0 | 64% | Actual: 150 (18) |
67 | -3.5 | 79% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Draddy Gymnasium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Rider (16-15, Road 6-11) |
66 | 67 | -3.0 | 61% | 131 | ✘ | 66 | -2.0 | 68% | ✘ | |
|
Manhattan (11-21, Home 4-9) |
73 | 64 | +3.0 | 39% | Actual: 139 (8) |
64 | +2.0 | 32% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Fiserv Forum | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Saint John's (21-13, Road 4-7) |
70 | 71 | +10.0 | 20% | 152 | ✘ | 71 | +10.0 | 3% | ✘ | |
|
Marquette (24-10, Home 16-3) |
69 | 81 | -10.0 | 80% | Actual: 139 (-13) |
81 | -10.0 | 97% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Dreamstyle Arena | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
San Diego State (20-13, Road 5-7) |
70 | 74 | -1.0 | 54% | 147 | ✘ | 78 | -10.5 | 98% | ✘ | |
|
New Mexico (13-18, Home 9-7) |
83 | 73 | +1.0 | 46% | Actual: 153 (6) |
67 | +10.5 | 2% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Dean E. Smith Center | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
North Carolina State (24-12, Road 4-6) |
96 | 79 | +10.0 | 20% | 168 | ✔ | 74 | +20.0 | 0% | ✔ | |
|
North Carolina (29-7, Home 14-2) |
113 | 89 | -10.0 | 80% | Actual: 209 (41) |
94 | -20.0 | 100% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| NIU Convocation Center | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Ball State (15-17, Road 8-7) |
72 | 71 | +3.0 | 39% | 145 | ✘ | 68 | +6.5 | 9% | ✘ | |
|
Northern Illinois (15-17, Home 8-6) |
71 | 74 | -3.0 | 61% | Actual: 143 (-2) |
75 | -6.5 | 91% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Rutgers Athletic Center | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Michigan (30-7, Road 7-4) |
77 | 66 | -9.0 | 78% | 123 | ✔ | 69 | -17.5 | 100% | ✔ | |
|
Rutgers (14-17, Home 10-7) |
65 | 57 | +9.0 | 22% | Actual: 142 (19) |
52 | +17.5 | 0% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Chaifetz Arena | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Dayton (21-12, Road 7-4) |
60 | 64 | +1.0 | 46% | 129 | ✔ | 60 | +6.5 | 8% | ✔ | |
|
Saint Louis (23-13, Home 15-2) |
73 | 65 | -1.0 | 54% | Actual: 133 (4) |
67 | -6.5 | 92% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Carrier Dome | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Florida State (29-8, Road 6-4) |
80 | 67 | +1.0 | 46% | 135 | ✘ | 72 | -11.5 | 98% | ✔ | |
|
Syracuse (20-14, Home 13-6) |
62 | 68 | -1.0 | 54% | Actual: 142 (7) |
61 | +11.5 | 2% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Thompson-Boling Arena | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Missouri (15-17, Road 2-8) |
60 | 62 | +17.0 | 9% | 141 | ✔ | 56 | +26.5 | 0% | ✔ | |
|
Tennessee (30-6, Home 17-0) |
72 | 79 | -17.0 | 91% | Actual: 132 (-9) |
83 | -26.5 | 100% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Savage Arena | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Akron (15-16, Road 1-10) |
52 | 61 | +8.0 | 24% | 130 | ✔ | 57 | +14.5 | 1% | ✔ | |
|
Toledo (24-8, Home 13-2) |
63 | 69 | -8.0 | 76% | Actual: 115 (-15) |
72 | -14.5 | 99% | |||
| Final/1OT | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Lawrence Joel Coliseum | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Pittsburgh (14-19, Road 0-11) |
76 | 71 | -3.0 | 61% | 139 | ✘ | 66 | +5.0 | 14% | ✔ | |
|
Wake Forest (11-20, Home 8-8) |
78 | 68 | +3.0 | 39% | Actual: 154 (15) |
71 | -5.0 | 86% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| University Arena | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Bowling Green (20-12, Road 5-9) |
85 | 79 | -7.0 | 73% | 151 | ✔ | 83 | -16.5 | 100% | ✔ | |
|
Western Michigan (7-24, Home 4-9) |
72 | 72 | +7.0 | 27% | Actual: 157 (6) |
66 | +16.5 | 0% | |||